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The Rate Hike Cycle That Wasn't

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from Lakshman Achuthan, Co-Founder and Chief Operations Officer of ECRI

In summer of 2015 we declared that the 'Fed's rate hike plans are on a collision course with the economic cycle.' This was because the Fed was pressing for the long awaited 'liftoff' from the zero lower bound at a time when ECRI's leading indexes were pointing to a cyclical slowdown in U.S. economic growth, i.e., a growth rate cycle (GRC) downturn.

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What We Read Today 24 June 2016

Econintersect: Every day our editors collect the most interesting things they find from around the internet and present a summary 'reading list' which will include very brief summaries (and sometimes longer ones) of why each item has gotten our attention. Suggestions from readers for 'reading list' items are gratefully reviewed, although sometimes space limits the number included.

This feature is published every day late afternoon New York time. For early morning review of headlines see "The Early Bird" published every day in the early am at GEI News (membership not required for access to "The Early Bird".).

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Every day most of this column ("What We Read Today") is available only to GEI members.

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 more features, analysis, studies, and news published in the last week

Reviewing The Basics Of The Elliott Wave Principle: The Zigzag

from Elliott Wave International

The Wave Principle classifies price action as either motive or corrective. Corrective waves move opposite the direction of the primary trend and include the zigzag, flat, triangle and combinations of these patterns. They offer traders an opportunity to rejoin the larger trend.

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Infographic Of The Day: What Causes A Slow Metabolism?

If you really want to lose weight and keep it off, it's important to have a firing metabolism that is consistently working away, burning energy (and therefore preventing, limiting and minimizing the amount of fat stored in the body).

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Video of the Day:

New Shepard flew again on June 19, 2016, reaching an apogee of 331,504 feet (101.042 kilometers). It was the fourth flight with this booster and the sixth flight of this capsule. This time, we intentionally did not deploy one of three parachutes on the capsule and proved we could softly land with only two of them open. We’ve designed the capsule to have one or two levels of redundancy in every system needed for crew safety, including the separation systems, parachutes, reaction controls.


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Coal's Terrible, No Good, Worst Year Ever



 more opinion

Will Brexit Affect U.S. Consumer Confidence? The Outcome May Determine Our Next President.

by Benn Steil

-- Co-authored with Emma Smith

It's 'the economy, stupid' - or so claimed famed campaign strategist James Carville during Bill Clinton's first successful run for the presidency, back in 1992. Nearly a quarter century later, it's still the case.Or more specifically, it's confidence in the economy (, stupid). At least that's what we've found.consumer.confidence.380x200

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 USA economy at a glance (boxed items are updates in last 7 days)

17 June 2016: ECRI's WLI Growth Index Unchanged

ECRI's WLI Growth Index which forecasts economic growth six months forward was unchanged and remains in positive territory for the thirteenth week - after spending the previous 34 consecutive weeks in negative territory.

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